Changes in black and chinquapin oak in barrens and savannas over the next century may depend on whether summer precipitation increases or decreases.

Forest impact models with scenarios and models that project a greater increase in warming and drier summers tend to suggest a decrease in habitat suitability for black and chinquapin oak. Forest impact models with scenarios and models with milder increases in temperature and wetter summers tend to suggest that conditions will be favorable for black and chiquapin oak.