Northern WI and western UP | Adaptation Workbook

This area includes the Laurentian Mixed Forest Ecological Province within northern Wisconsin and the western Upper Peninsula of Michigan. The area covers Albert's Ecological Sections VIII, IX, and X in Wisconsin and Ecological Section IX in Michigan.

NIACS Unit

Lowland conifers

Lowland-riparian hardwoods

Northern hardwoods

Upland spruce-fir

Multi-family residential

Commercial/ Industrial

Agricultural facilities and infrastructure

Agricultural tree plantations

Associated agricultural lands

Non-agricultural rural developed land

Non-agricultural designated protected area

Non-forested wetland

GeoJson

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Vulnerability Assessment

Forest Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment and Synthesis for N. Wisconsin and W…

Vulnerability Assessment Video

Video presentation: Climate Change Impacts on Northwoods Forests

Climate Impact Statements

Temperatures in northern Wisconsin and western Michigan will increase between 3 °F and 9 °F by the end of the century, with more warming during winter.

Total snowfall, snow depth, and snowpack duration are all expected to decline substantially in northern Wisconsin and western Michigan by the end of the century.

Northern Wisconsin and western Michigan will have 30-50 fewer days of frozen ground during the winter by the end of the century.

The growing season in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan will increase by 20 to 70 days by the end of the century.

Intense precipitation events will continue to become more frequent in in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan.

Soil moisture patterns in in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan will change, with drier soil conditions later in the growing season.

Climate conditions will increase fire risks in in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan by the end of the century.

Many invasive species, insect pests, and pathogens in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan will increase or become more damaging.

Boreal species in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan will face increasing stress from climate change.

Southern or temperate species in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan will be favored by climate change.

Forest productivity in northern Wisconsin and western Upper Michigan will increase across the assessment area.

Low-diversity systems are at greater risk from climate change.

Species in fragmented landscapes will have less opportunity to migrate in response to climate change.

Systems that are limited to particular environments will have less opportunity to migrate in response to climate change.

Systems that are more tolerant of disturbance have less risk of declining on the landscape

The urban heat island effect can exacerbate the effects of increasing temperatures.

Impervious cover can exacerbate the effects of increased heavy precipitation events in urban areas.

Forest composition will change across the landscape

Tree regeneration and recruitment will change

Forest productivity will increase during the next several decades in the absence of significant stressors

Surface water temperatures are expected to rise due to warming air temperatures

Inland lakes are warming, and continued warming will decrease seasonal mixing of stratified lakes and reduce available dissolved oxygen

Low streamflow events may become more frequent and deliver lower water volumes

Seasonal variation in soil moisture and altered precipitation may influence the magnitude and duration of flood events.

GeoJson (Buffered)

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