The Southern Great Plains region is expected to experience between 0 and 10 fewer days per year with a minimum temperature below 10 degrees Fahrenheit by the middle of the century.

The largest decreases in cold days are expected in Kansas. The smallest decrease in cold days is expected in Oklahoma and Texas, where these kinds of cold days rarely occur. Similarly, the region is expected to have up to 30 fewer days with a minimum temperature below 32 degrees by the middle of the century, particularly on the western edges of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas.